5  Segmental Analysis

The segmental analysis is based on the information disclosed in the notes to the accounts in each syndicate’s financial statements, as well as Lloyd’s pro-forma and aggregate accounts. The data has been curated by ICMR and is available as part of the ICMR.Data offering.

Although this section will focus on the aggregated data for four lines (Reinsurance, Casualty, Property and Specialty) the underlying data is more granular.

5.1 Aggregate gross written premium by COB

Aggregating the data to only four classes shows that the traditional specialty lines have become less material for Lloyd’s over time, while new classes such as Cyber have grown significantly as part of Casualty.

Figure 5.1: Gross written premium split by class of business

Reinsurance remains the largest single class at Lloyd’s, making c. 34% of the market aggregate GWP. Direct Property and Casualty business each represent about 1/4 of underwriting in 2024, while the Specialty lines dropped 17%, see Figure 5.1.

Overall Lloyd’s market GWP has doubled in size since 2015, with significant growth in Property and Reinsurance Property over the recent years, Figure 5.2.

Following a reduction in Specialty business to a low point in 2021 there has been renewed income from this line over the previous three years.

Figure 5.2: Lloyd’s aggregate gross written premium

Over the last three years all lines produced underwriting profits, as indeed they also did in the aggregate over the previous 10 years since 2015. Figure 5.3 shows that over a three year time horizon Property and Reinsurance Property were the clear out-performers in terms of growth and profitability from 2022 to 2024, following significant improvements in rate and relatively lower than average major claims experience. Over the longer 10 year time horizon, Reinsurance Property has seen the best combination of growth and returns, Figure 5.4.

Figure 5.3: Aggregate combined ratio vs compound annual growth rates (CAGR) by COB.
Figure 5.4: Aggregate combined ratio vs compound annual growth rates (CAGR) by COB.

5.2 Aggregate underwriting ratios

All four lines reported accident year underwriting profits in 2024, Figure 5.5. However, there has been considerable volatility over the previous 10 years as a result of major loss activities, which impacted the Reinsurance and Property lines in particular.

Figure 5.5: Lloyd’s aggregate net underwriting ratios

The strengthening in reserves for the Specialty line is explained by Lloyd’s as follows: “Since the end of 2023, there hav e been significant increases in the allowance for the Ukraine conflict in reserves, primarily driven by ultimate loss estimate increases for Aviation losses, partially offset by decreases in Marine and Political Risk classes due to expiry of risk. The increases in Aviation estimates are driven by revised assumptions around the best estimate, informed by recent settlements.” (Source: Lloyd’s 2024 pro-forma annual report)

5.3 Aggregate underwriting statistics

The next sections delve deeper into the data by COB, reviewing the performance over time, the gross U/W performance and changes in market concentration.

Presenting performance on a gross performance basis has the advantage of eliminating the impact of different reinsurance structures, particularly inter-group reinsurance and legacy transactions.

Financial year Number of syndicates GWP £m YoY change Top 5 GWP share Gross loss ratio Net U/W result £m
2015 73 9,449 NA 36.9% 45.8% 904
2016 73 10,084 6.7% 34.9% 50.8% 583
2017 69 11,149 10.6% 33.1% 100.2% (1,336)
2018 70 11,797 5.8% 33.6% 80.9% (456)
2019 69 12,065 2.3% 30.5% 73.3% (435)
2020 69 12,832 6.4% 30.2% 70.3% (656)
2021 83 15,425 20.2% 28.5% 69.2% 498
2022 86 16,376 6.2% 28.0% 70.0% 636
2023 89 18,575 13.4% 26.6% 48.5% 2,550
2024 94 19,266 3.7% 28.4% 56.2% 1,680
Table 5.1: GWP, gross & net U/W result from Lloyd’s Aggregate Accounts, number of syndicates and top 5 share from individual non-life syndicate financial statements. Source: ICMR.Data
Financial year Number of syndicates GWP £m YoY change Top 5 GWP share Gross loss ratio Net U/W result £m
2015 72 5,764 NA 29.9% 59.8% (4)
2016 72 7,131 23.7% 27.8% 62.1% (147)
2017 66 8,464 18.7% 28.8% 63.3% (190)
2018 65 9,094 7.4% 28.1% 66.8% (184)
2019 64 9,680 6.4% 29.4% 70.9% (381)
2020 66 9,128 -5.7% 30.4% 77.3% (689)
2021 74 10,796 18.3% 30.6% 67.1% (30)
2022 83 13,474 24.8% 28.9% 65.4% 538
2023 82 13,792 2.4% 29.8% 57.2% 577
2024 84 13,402 -2.8% 24.4% 56.9% 797
Table 5.2: GWP, gross & net U/W result from Lloyd’s Aggregate Accounts, number of syndicates and top 5 share from individual non-life syndicate financial statements. Source: ICMR.Data
Financial year Number of syndicates GWP £m YoY change Top 5 GWP share Gross loss ratio Net U/W result £m
2015 70 5,971 NA 33.0% 38.1% 587
2016 73 6,862 14.9% 32.9% 54.5% (98)
2017 68 7,739 12.8% 34.6% 103.8% (1,785)
2018 66 8,474 9.5% 34.0% 75.3% (936)
2019 64 8,061 -4.9% 30.4% 57.4% (31)
2020 67 8,023 -0.5% 29.6% 73.8% (707)
2021 75 8,391 4.6% 28.6% 55.6% 498
2022 75 10,750 28.1% 25.5% 62.1% 462
2023 80 13,123 22.1% 27.4% 37.6% 1,657
2024 88 13,952 6.3% 25.4% 40.0% 1,898
Table 5.3: GWP, gross & net U/W result from Lloyd’s Aggregate Accounts, number of syndicates and top 5 share from individual non-life syndicate financial statements. Source: ICMR.Data
Financial year Number of syndicates GWP £m YoY change Top 5 GWP share Gross loss ratio Net U/W result £m
2015 70 6,288 NA 28.7% 54.0% 270
2016 70 6,380 1.5% 31.9% 68.6% (205)
2017 64 6,729 5.5% 33.3% 70.1% (535)
2018 63 7,775 15.5% 39.2% 66.8% (31)
2019 62 7,606 -2.2% 36.2% 71.8% (115)
2020 61 6,208 -18.4% 32.5% 96.1% (1,031)
2021 71 6,219 0.2% 31.2% 54.1% 613
2022 75 7,967 28.1% 26.7% 67.5% 517
2023 81 8,991 12.9% 24.5% 51.0% 748
2024 83 9,423 4.8% 27.1% 64.4% 301
Table 5.4: GWP, gross & net U/W result from Lloyd’s Aggregate Accounts, number of syndicates and top 5 share from individual non-life syndicate financial statements. Source: ICMR.Data

Despite an increase in the number of syndicates within each sector, the top 5 syndicates by GWP still hold approximately a 25% market share.

All classes experienced a reduction in premium growth during 2024, with Casualty GWP decreasing by -2.8%.